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Author Posner, Kenneth A.

Title Stalking the black swan [electronic resource] : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Kenneth A. Posner.

Published New York : Columbia Business School Publishing, c2010.


Location Call No. Status
Physical description xv, 267 p. : ill.
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index.
Contents Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.
Reproduction Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest, 2015. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest affiliated libraries.
Other author ProQuest (Firm)
Subject Investment analysis.
Investments -- Forecasting.
Business cycles.
Electronic books.
ISBN 9780231150484 (cloth : alk. paper)
0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper)
9780231521673 (ebook)
0231521677 (ebook)